DP Ruto with Raila Odinga at a past event

DP Ruto Leads Raila in Race for Presidency – Latest Poll

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The latest opinion poll conducted by TIFA Research shows that Deputy President William Ruto is the most preferred presidential candidate amongst Kenyans.

The research results released on May 5, 2022, show that 39 percent of Kenyans interviewed said they will vote for DP Ruto, while 32 percent said they support ODM leader Raila Odinga.

16 percent of the Kenyans interviewed said they are yet to decide on who to support.

Raila and Ruto at a past event.

Nearly all Kenyans who have made up their minds say that they intend to vote for either DP William Ruto (39%) or former PM Raila Odinga (32%).

However, the larger proportion who either indicated they are yet to decide (16%) or who declined to answer this question (12%) suggests that the actual outcome remains yet to be determined,” notes the TIFA research survey.

Looking at the distribution of support for the two main presidential candidates across the country, to little surprise, each is most popular in their ‘native’ zones.

Ruto has 70 percent support in Central Rift and Raila with 56 percent in Nyanza.

DP Ruto’s second most popular zone is Mt Kenya (53%) whilst Raila’s in Lower Eastern (41%).

Distribution of Ruto, Raila support per region. Photo Source/TIFA poll

UDA most popular party

In popularity amongst political parties, the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) remains the most popular at 34 percent, followed by the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) with 19 percent, while Jubilee and Wiper come a distant third and fourth respectively with a popularity of 4 percent and 3 percent respectively.

The most popular party remains UDA, with its popularity (34%) greater than that of ODM, Jubilee, and Wiper combined (26%),” notes TIFA research in their latest poll.

For the popularity of political coalitions, slightly more Kenyans expressed support for Azimio la Umoja/One Kenya Alliance than for the Kenya Kwanza Alliance (36% vs. 33%).

While nearly all ODM supporters also support the Azimio coalition (94%), only about three-quarters of UDA supporters support Kenya Kwanza (79%),” the survey shows.

32 percent of those interviewed said they either do not support any of the two coalitions or declined to answer the question.

Azimio, Kenya Kwanza popularity per region. Photo/TIFA Poll

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