Azimio presidential candidate Raila Odinga with his running mate Martha Karua at a past event.

Raila Overtakes DP Ruto in Presidential Race – Latest Opinion Poll


Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Alliance presidential candidate Raila Odinga is now ahead of Kenya Kwanza’s William Ruto, the latest opinion poll has shown.

The opinion poll released by Tifa Research shows that Raila’s popularity is at 39 percent, compared to Deputy Presiden William Ruto’s 35 percent.

Wiper party leader Kalonzo Musyoka polled 2 percent, while 14 percent of Kenyans are still undecided.

Raila, the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) party leader recently named Narc Kenya party leader Martha Karua as his running mate, while DP Ruto picked Mathira Member of Parliament Rigathi Gachagua.

Raila with Karua during the recent unveiling of Azimio’s running mate.

According to #TifaElectionsBarometer the presidential-contest pair of Raila Odinga and Martha Karua appear to attract the most voting intentions of Kenyans, although the Ruto-Gachagua pair are not far behind (39% vs 35%),” notes Tifa Research.

The survey further shows that in terms of the pattern of support for the party alliances/coalitions, the Odinga-Karua pair receive most voting-intention support in Nyanza, but also enjoys plurality support in Coast, Lower Eastern, Nairobi, and Western.

Ruto-Gachagua team enjoys most support in South Rift as well as Central Rift, Mt. Kenya, and Northern zones.

As for Musyoka-Sunkuli, their support is highest in Lower Eastern but it is far short of an outright majority (15%),” the opinion poll notes.

DP Ruto and his running mate Mathira MP Rigathi Gachagua at a past event.

Compared with the last Tifa Research survey, the latest poll shows that the former Prime Minister has gained in seven of the nine zones the research company uses for such purposes, the biggest being in Coast, Nyanza, and Western.

He gained 13 percent in Coast and Nyanza and 12 percent in Western.

Only in South Rift has his (Raila) support decreased by 9 percent,” the latest opinion poll shows.

Support for Ruto since TIFA’s last (late April) survey has declined in six of the nine zones, especially in his ‘home’ Central Rift and Nyanza (11% and 10%, respectively). Only in South Rift has he made a major gain (+26%),” add the survey.

The results are based on TIFA Research conducted between 15th and 16th May 2022.

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